Let's talk about the plate again. Let's try to do certainty, look for certainty logic, and make plans at the end of this year's last point. For example, last week we said that institutions are very optimistic about tourism. In fact, everyone is familiar with the stimulation of tourism in winter. There is nothing new about an Asian Winter Games, which corresponds to a Dalian Shengya and a Changbai Mountain. These are all things stimulated by winning numbers's policies. Earlier, we told you that one of them is a Zhuang stock. Just take a research report from the seller's research institute before posting last week. Look at this week, the amount is at a new high. You said that these managers will definitely take it, but it will become a relay. If you get out before the chips are loose, your net worth will accelerate to a new high. After all, the optimization mechanism of the last elimination system is still terrible for the iron rice bowl. From a macro perspective, it is definitely an opportunity for local financial control platform companies to be involved in debt conversion in the next six months, and it will take half a year at the earliest to solve the liquidity. We will talk about it in detail later. From the perspective of the whole transformation cycle, what quantum information does the whole industrial chain of robot low-altitude ai semiconductors include, and so on? Anyone who has some fundamentals will go crazy in the slow cattle. The shortest term is the upcoming meeting and annual report. Do you want new infrastructure? Do you want certainty in the annual report? Last year, the optical module pcb was highly deterministic. What is the high certainty this year? Look at the contract liabilities. There is a group with high contract liabilities. As long as the first company discloses the compound expectation, it will be fulfilled. Combined with the new infrastructure, there may be a sustained market. You can look for it. The general direction is in the direction of resonance between wind power parts and quadruped robots. There are too few stocks and the capacity is not large, so we will not order it.So for the current index, since you price this information, in principle, it is not allowed to fall below the starting point of information pricing, and the starting point resonates with the trend and horizontal central neckline, then neither 3380 nor the original trend is allowed to fall below in a short period of time.
So for next week, since it's super week, we'd better respect it, such as lowering positions, unloading leverage, meetings, and our cpi. This expectation can all go to 0.5, and the cpi of America is expected to go to 2.7. If these two important data are added to a meeting, the capital market will fluctuate violently, and there will be two turning points of re-inflation. Here's a data, remember what we said a long time ago.This time, the difference is only 0.007. Do you still remember that the global capital market plummeted and melted on August 5? Then in September, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50bp urgently. After the data was released, the probability of the Fed's interest rate cut was 90.5%. After the meeting, the most eagle representative said that we should not look at this data, but the inflation rate. Then next Wednesday, the US cpi is also very important, so beware of short-term risks, especially the risk control at the index level.Let's talk about the macro, the first is economic transformation, the second is the speed of our debt conversion and an obvious progress, and the other is the increase of gold holdings and our long-term debt and confidence in economic recovery.
It is necessary to adjust the interest rate of 10/30 bonds in the future. The yield of the anchor 10-year government bonds priced by capital assets fell below 2%. Remember the spread between stocks and bonds we talked about? This is a good phenomenon. Before, A shares were not anchored by this anchor, which also confirmed that the initial intention of this round of "bull market" was the re-pricing of RMB assets. This 2% is equivalent to a calm lake. Real estate, stocks and other assets are all canoes above, but you can see that the stock market is declining, so there is bound to be a factor accelerating. Is real estate?If so, you can take good care of your stock assets, because the acceleration of real estate can't be sustained with the acceleration of debt conversion, especially the change in the statistical caliber of social finance is slowly repairing everyone's confidence. The next step is cpi re-transmission, and then the whole economic model is revitalized, which is the most important pawn at the moment, and liquidity has fallen. In the follow-up, whether it is the development of traditional infrastructure, the development of new infrastructure, the commercialization of land transfer, and the re-emergence of assets to make money, this hurdle has passed, and everyone must have this confidence.So for the current index, since you price this information, in principle, it is not allowed to fall below the starting point of information pricing, and the starting point resonates with the trend and horizontal central neckline, then neither 3380 nor the original trend is allowed to fall below in a short period of time.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13